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Devils Bench Star for Jets Match

New Jersey's data model suggests resting Connor Hellebuyck improves winning odds, despite the goalie's five-game unbeaten streak.

By Amit Chukwu ·

Illustration for: Devils Bench Star for Jets Match
Illustration generated for this article, not a news photograph.

The New Jersey Devils will not start Connor Hellebuyck against the Winnipeg Jets on Tuesday evening. General Manager Sunny Mehta confirmed the decision after a shutout victory over Toronto on Sunday. Mehta stated that the front office calculated Hellebuyck's participation would lower the team's expected win probability. This analytical approach has drawn criticism from opponents and fans alike.

Hellebuyck holds the 2024-25 Hart Trophy and three Vezina Trophies. He is currently on a five-game unbeaten streak with a 1.96 goals-against average and a .913 save percentage. The goaltender expressed disappointment but accepted the benching. He noted that he understood the organizational perspective despite feeling a personal duty to play in his homecoming.

The transaction sending Hellebuyck to New Jersey occurred on October 23. The Jets traded him for Dawson Mercer, Alexander Command, Nick Bjugstad, Nico Daws, and two future draft picks. Hellebuyck waived his no-movement clause to facilitate the deal on the same day his suspension ended. The move followed months of strained relations and a public trade demand from the player last summer.

Jets head coach Scott Arniel criticized the Devils' strategy on Monday. He questioned how the analytics supported resting a future Hall of Famer in his prime. Arniel argued the decision lacks the emotional closure provided by a competitive matchup. This mirrors the reactions to previous homecomings involving Brady Tkachuk and Quinn Hughes.

Veteran goaltender Jake Allen is expected to start for the Devils. Allen holds a 6-3-0 record this season with a 3.20 goals-against average. He allowed four goals in his most recent start against the Islanders but was supported by the team's offensive efforts. The Devils have won five consecutive games and are without forward Anthony Mantha due to an upper-body injury sustained on Saturday.

Winnipeg enters the game seeking to extend its three-game winning streak. The team snapped a nine-game losing streak with those victories, all of which featured Stuart Skinner in net. The Jets hold a 4-4-1 record on home ice. Top defenseman Josh Morrissey will return to the lineup after missing time since October 7 due to injury.

Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup pits a team with strong recent form against a goalie in career-defining form who has been rested for statistical reasons.

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