NBA Odds: Knicks Heavy 15.5-Point Favorites Over Struggling Bucks

The New York Knicks are listed as 15.5-point favorites to defeat the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday, November 10. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Madison Square Garden. This matchup marks the first meeting between the two Eastern Conference rivals in the 2026-27 season.

The gap in standing between the clubs is stark. New York holds a 5-4 record and has won its last three games by double-digit margins. The most recent victory came Saturday against the Cleveland Cavaliers, finishing 109-97. Milwaukee, by contrast, has lost six straight games. The Bucks are tied for the worst record in the league at 1-9.

Both rosters are dealing with injuries ahead of the contest. New York's Josh Hart is listed as questionable due to an ankle issue. Milwaukee's Tyler Herro is also questionable with a knee injury. These absences could disrupt the rhythm of both teams as they prepare for the game.

Historical data favors the home squad. The Knicks have won seven of the last eight meetings against Milwaukee. The betting market reflects this disparity with New York carrying the heavy point spread. The total points line for the game is set at 220.5.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated this matchup 10,000 times. The model has generated nearly $19,000 in profit for $100 players on top-rated NBA picks since 2018. It has returned four-digit profit on top selections for five straight seasons.

The model recommends going Over the 220.5-point total. Four of the last five meetings between these teams have surpassed that line. The Knicks' offense has improved recently, averaging 114.6 points in their last five games. That is up from 104 points in their first four games.

Milwaukee's defensive struggles support the over prediction. The Bucks rank in the bottom three in the league for points allowed per game and defensive rating. They also force the fewest turnovers per game. This may allow New York's offense more scoring opportunities. The model forecasts that 11 players will score over nine points in this contest.

Rest advantage also plays a role in the analysis. The Knicks last played on Saturday, while the Bucks played on Sunday. Since the start of last year, the Over has hit in 77% of games for teams facing a rest disadvantage. That rate is the highest in the NBA.

The model identified a side of the spread that hits in well over 50% of the simulations. While the specific pick is available through SportsLine, the data indicates a strong probability for one team to cover the 15.5-point line. Fans and bettors can review the full breakdown of these simulations to understand the projected outcome of Tuesday's game.